基于模糊聚类和灰色理论的各行业与全社会用电量关联分析 correlative analysis of power consumption for various industries to whole society based on fuzzy clustering and grey theory.pdfVIP
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基于模糊聚类和灰色理论的各行业与全社会用电量关联分析 correlative analysis of power consumption for various industries to whole society based on fuzzy clustering and grey theory
第30卷第2期 电网技术 、,01.30NO.2
2006年1月 Pow“SystemTkllIlOlogy Jan.2006
文章编号:1000一3673(2006)02一0046—05
中图分类号:1M715文献标识码:A 学科代码:4704051
基于模糊聚类和灰色理论的
各行业与全社会用电量关联分析
侯 勇,张荣乾,谭忠富,王成文,曹福成
(华北电力大学电力经济研究所,北京市昌平区102206)
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fuz2y grey 要是由于对经济发展和电力需求的预测不准确以
acorrelatiVemethod0f for
chcQfy analysis powerconsumpnon
及对电力需求与国民经济各产业的关联分析不足。
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aredividedint0 传统的电力需求预测方法主要有如下几种:电力弹
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me correlativeof曲chevaluated性系数法、单耗法、时问序列预测法、回归预测法、
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grouP objectconducted,therebyorderJ“g 神经网络法、灰色预测法等“。I,这些方法都有各自
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准确的电力负荷预测值,但这些方法的一
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