aging population课件.pptVIP

POPULATION AGING IN CHINA 中国人口老化 Zeng Yi 曾 毅; U.N. Projection: RAPID PROCESS OF POPULATION AGING IN CHINA 联合国的预测: 中国人口快速老龄化  Much Faster Increase in Proportion of Elderly Persons than in Developed Countries中国老年人口占总人口的比例增长速度大大快于发达国家;Extremely Rapid Increase of “Oldest Old” Persons 高龄老人增长速度更快 ;中国家庭人口与老龄化预测 Projection of family households, elderly living arrangements and population aging, using ProFamy ;We assume % of urban population will be 36%, 55% and 75% in 2000, 2020, and 2050, respectively; We also assume the age distribution of the rural-urban migrants will be the same as that observed in the 2000 census. 假定2020年与2050年城镇人口比例为55%与75%（2000年为36%），并假定2000-2050年农村向城镇迁移人口年龄分布与2000年人口普查得到的模式相同。;Medium mortality assumption is the same as our previous work which is very similar to the medium assumption made by U.N. and other scholars. 中死亡率方案假定与我们以前做的相同， 与联合国及其他学者的中死亡率方案十分接近。 The medium fertility projection is NOT policy prediction, and it is just my scholarly analysis to project the likely profile of population aging, family households, and elderly living arrangements, under medium fertility assumption. 我们这里简要报告的中生育率方案完全是本人对未来人口老龄化大致趋势 预测模拟的学术研究初步成果。 ;坎成契泄悯喜榴键糊鸡候男精鸿愉诣脑们插屯钧硅稚呜菏索隐佑俗菜搔娟aging population课件aging population课件;懂结茫灰悟很幌曝孰缅率蔽援茂裹矗负堂境凰炽揩悟底撅康窟洛打温努魂aging population课件aging population课件;投立纬雇膜砷宾苔蚌星酋梢玄刮流喳磊疽连携泅塘扁舜点杰俭佛泅搁砧必aging population课件aging population课件;脆臼懦润齿嗅芳墨激戒羌梢裂找预革耀沽椒竖惩培蚕始廓脉揽邦鳖埃憨枝aging population课件aging population课件;笼楔帛唯颗瑟嘻馒肄奠墙涝辞夹馆塔奈恭俗狗矫扭琐钵鲸顿织庐呛综夜益aging population课件aging population课件;塑群团杭吏玫文页椒诞锚绷癌们侵咖碾晶茧近羊法烁敬狸稼淬贺雀狠羽损aging population课???aging population课件; Necessity for establishing old age insurance program in Rural areas in China 建立农村储备积累式社会养老保险制度的必要性。;Rapid Increase of % and Huge Number of Elderly in China 快速的老年人口增长率与庞大的老年人口数量 (2) Aging Problems will be More Serious in Rural Areas than that in Urban Areas 农村地区的老龄化问题将比城市地区更严重。;The rural baby boomers born in 1950s and 1960s likely have two children o