distinct global patterns of strong positive and negative shifts of seasons over the last 6 decades独特的全球模式的积极和消极变化的季节过去6年.pdfVIP

Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, 2012, 2, 76-88 /10.4236/acs.2012.21009 Published Online January 2012 (http://www.SciRP.org/journal/acs) Distinct Global Patterns of Strong Positive and Negative Shifts of Seasons over the Last 6 Decades 1* 1 1 2 Andres Schmidt , Beverly E. Law , Chad Hanson , Otto Klemm 1Department of Forest Ecosystems and Society, Oregon State University, Richardson Hall, Corvallis, USA 2Institute of Landscape Ecology, Department of Climatology, University of Münster, Münster, Germany * Email: andres.schmidt@ Received October 29, 2011; revised December 5, 2011; accepted December 23, 2011 ABSTRACT Alterations of annual temperature cycles have profound implications on how the planet responds to global climate change. In this study, a high resolution global analysis of temperature cycle shifts and their development over time is presented. We show that over the last 63 years, phase shifts in the annual near surface temperature cycle exhibit large spatiotemporal variability. The calculated phase shifts comprise earlier onsets of seasons as well as delays with similar frequencies, depending on location. From 1978 to 2010 Eastern Europe experienced an advanced annual cycle of near-surface temperature of 3.2 days while Eastern Australia shows an opposite shift towards later seasons of 3.5 days in comparison to the preceding 30-year period from 1948 to 1977. The largest phase shifts of –5.5 days toward earlier seasons over land were found in Belarus and Northwest Russia. For the first time the developments of seasonal tem- perature shif