考虑线路故障的随机潮流-中国电机工程学报.PDFVIP

25 卷 24 期 中 国 电 机 工 程 学 报 Vol.25 No.24 Dec. 2005 2005 年12 月 Proceedings of the CSEE 2005 Chin.Soc.for Elec.Eng. 文章编号：0258-8013 （2005 ）24-0026-08 中图分类号：TM76 文献标识码：A 学科分类号：47040 考虑线路故障的随机潮流 胡泽春，王锡凡，张 显，王秀丽 (西安交通大学电气工程学院，陕西省 西安市 710049) PROBABILISTIC LOAD FLOW METHOD CONSIDERING BRANCH OUTAGES HU Ze-chun, WANG Xi-fan, ZHANG Xian, Wang Xiu-li (Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, Shaanxi Province, China) ABSTRACT: This paper proposes a probabilistic load flow 布的各阶半不变量时对连续正态分布和离散分布 2 部分分 (PLF) method considering random branch outages as well as 别计算。用Von Mises 提出的方法由各阶矩求离散分布，与 uncertainties of nodal power inj ections. Branch outages are 正态分布卷积后获得电压和支路功率的分布函数。对RTS24 simulated by suitable power inj ections at corresponding nodes. 节点系统的算例分析了线路故障对随机潮流结果的影响。测 Fluctuation of loads and unscheduled unit outages are all 试表明，文中的随机潮流算法和蒙特卡罗法计算结果是一致 considered as disturbances of nodal power inj ections. 的，计算速度则要快得多。对某实际系统的测试则给出了随 Linearization formulation of power flow equations are 机潮流应用的可能性。 employed to solve the variations of state variables under these uncertainties. To reduce the error raised by linearization, 关键词：电力系统；随机潮流；线路故障；分布函数；半不 deterministic power flow is run under those discrete 变量 disturbances which have considerable influences to the system. To obtain the cumulants of the distributions of nodal voltages 1 引言 and branch powers, continuous and discrete