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on the brink how biology and humans affect extinction risk濒临灭绝生物和人类如何影响的风险
Research Digest
Synopses of Research Articles
On the Brink: How Biology and Humans
Affect Extinction Risk
Close to a quarter of the world’s mammals are at high risk of
extinction. Save for the periodic “great extinctions,” mammalian
extinction has been a relatively rare event in geological terms,
with one species disappearing from the fossil record every
1,000 years or so. Over the past 400 years, species have been
disappearing 50 times faster than this “background” rate, with one
vanishing every sixteen years. Human population growth and all
its consequences—habitat destruction, propagation of invasive
species, poaching—are largely to blame. Top predators often
suffer heavily from encounters with humans, especially when
those predators are perceived as economic threats. Thirty-four
Mexican gray wolves have been reintroduced in Arizona since
1998, and fi ve have been shot, reportedly by ranchers.
Species in the most densely populated areas are expected
to face the greatest risk, yet some survive while others perish,
suggesting biological factors play a role in their fate. If, for The IUCN lists lions as vulnerable. Photo, with permission, by
example, the same external force drastically reduces populations Nicky Jenner, Institute of Zoology, London.
of species with different biological profi les, then a species with While it’s possible that the direct effects of human population
a relatively short gestation period may stand a better chance of density are past—that is, species most sensitive to human
recovering than a long-gestating species. incursions are already gone—human population density likely
Effective conservation strategies depend on understanding modulates biology. That might explain why gestation length
which factors are likely to increase extinction risk, but it’s unclear didn’t predict risk
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