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Tech Analysis Commodity (技术分析商品)
Risk Management • Price Risk
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
Technical Analysis
of Commodity
Markets: Emphasis
on Bar Charts
Supply and demand dollar that influence the
ultimately determine cost of U.S. cotton, corn,
commodity prices. Con- Wayne D. Purcell wheat, or beef, etc.
ceptually, there is an Alumni Distinguished Professor Over time, a chart of
equilibrium or “market- Agricultural and Applied Economics Department prices for December
clearing” price at which Director cotton futures or for June
the quantity producers Research Institute on Livestock Pricing live cattle (the fed cattle
supply to the market Virginia Tech futures) will show
equals the quantity buyers patterns as the price
are willing to take. discovery process re-
Demand and supply are sponds to actual or
balanced at PE . perceived changes in supply and/or demand. Study of
those chart patterns is called technical analysis. Such
Figure 1.
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