about to the new demographic dividend crack middle-income trap（关于新的人口红利裂缝中等收入陷阱）.docVIP

About to the new demographic dividend crack middle-income trap Middle-income trap refers to the per capita GDP of an economy to achieve a level of three or four thousand dollars, is difficult to overcome its own contradictions, the development of strategic mistakes or external shocks, the economy was in a state of long-term stagnation. In accordance with the standards of the World Bank, China’s per capita GDP of more than $ 5,000, has entered the ranks of middle-income countries. Meanwhile, China’s economic growth rate is gradually reduced. Faced with this situation, whether it will fall into the middle-income trap to become the subject of attention was China is likely to fall into the middle-income trap, a reason, China’s agricultural surplus labor from the unlimited supply shortage Lewis turning point is coming, labor shortages, rising wage costs lead to loss of comparative advantage, with the gradual disappearance of the demographic dividend, economic growth speed inevitable slowdown as well as stagnation. In fact, this view only see the population demographic dividend. Technological innovation should also see that after 30 years of sustained and rapid growth, China’s economy is from factor-driven to innovation-driven transformation of China’s participation in international competition is to “value competition by price competition, thus mainly determined by the quality of the population. become China’s future economic development of the decisive factors in the same time, agricultural production and the nature of the product has become increasingly characteristic of the industrial sector, and gradually be incorporated into the new industrialization track, whereby the structure of the labor force in urban and rural areas will continue to adjust. Consequently, the demographic dividend is not only changes in the working-age population, or the population dependency ratio, We have the ability to expand the traditional demographic dividend, to create a new demog