陕西省产业结构调整对碳排放的影响分析研究.pdf

Subject : Research on the Impact of Shaanxi province Industrial Structure Adjustment on Carbon Emissions Specialty : Management Science and Engineering Name : Miao Miao (Signature) Instructor : Zhang Lijie (Signature) ABSTRACT In the resent ten years, the global climate warming has been listed as the top of global ten ten environmental issues, and Carbon dioxide has the greatest influence on climate changes among the Greenhouse gases discharged from human activities. In August 2010, our country established Shaanxi province as one of the low carbon pilot provinces, and made low-carbon transformation of shaanxi province officially become the future direction of economy development. On the basis of studying a large number of related articles, using the system simulation method and regression analysis, this paper constructed the system dynamics model of low carbonization adjustment of industrial structure in Shanxi Province with three industrial added value 、the whole society fixed assets investment and energy consumption carbon emissions as the level variables. And simulated and forecasted the GDP 、three industrial added value 、total energy consumption and co2 emissions of shaanxi province in next 8 years.And study on how to adjust the proportion of three industries in gross domestic product, as well as the impact of adjustment of industrial structure on energy consumption carbon emissions. At last, this paper put forward some policy Suggestions according to the previous analysis. The conclusion is as follows: (1) According to industrial structure Low carbonization adjustment model of Shaanxi province, in the next eight years, the proportion of secondary industry will gradually increase, the proportion of