a perspective on sea level rise and coastal storm surge from southern and eastern africa a case study near durban, south africa海平面上升角度,从非洲南部和东部的沿海风暴潮德班附近的一个案例研究,南非.pdfVIP

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a perspective on sea level rise and coastal storm surge from southern and eastern africa a case study near durban, south africa海平面上升角度,从非洲南部和东部的沿海风暴潮德班附近的一个案例研究,南非.pdf

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a perspective on sea level rise and coastal storm surge from southern and eastern africa a case study near durban, south africa海平面上升角度,从非洲南部和东部的沿海风暴潮德班附近的一个案例研究,南非

Water 2012, 4, 237-259; doi:10.3390/w4010237 OPEN ACCESS water ISSN 2073-4441 /journal/water Article A Perspective on Sea Level Rise and Coastal Storm Surge from Southern and Eastern Africa: A Case Study Near Durban, South Africa Andrew A. Mather 1,2,* and Derek D. Stretch 2 1 Ethekwini Municipality, 166 K.E. Masinga Road, Durban 4001, South Africa 2 Centre for Research in Environmental, Coastal and Hydrological Engineering, University of KwaZulu-Natal 4041, South Africa; E-Mail: stretchd@ukzn.ac.za * Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail: mathera@.za; Tel.: +27-31-3117281; Fax: +27-031-3056952. Received: 3 February 2012 / Accepted: 20 February 2012 / Published: 5 March 2012 Abstract: Recent coastal storms in southern Africa have highlighted the need for more proactive management of the coastline. Within the southern and eastern African region the availability of coastal information is poor. The greatest gap in information is the likely effects of a combination of severe sea storms and future sea level rise (SLR) on the shoreline. This lack of information creates a barrier to informed decision making. This research outlines a practical localized approach to this problem, which can be applied as a first order assessment within the region. In so doing it provides a cost effective and simple decision support tool for the built environment and disaster professionals in devel