内蒙古草原生态环境与畜牧业发展的评价研究.pdfVIP

内蒙古草原生态环境与畜牧业发展的评价研究 内蒙古财经大学 鄂慧芳、管宏建、李聚蕾 摘要：本文以内蒙古六大草原——呼伦贝尔草原，锡林郭勒草原，科尔沁草原， 乌兰察布草原，鄂尔多斯草原，阿拉善草原为主要研究对象。首先，简述了内蒙 古主要草原的环境现状；其次，分析了自然因素(主要是气温，降水量)对草原环 境的影响；第三，从经济理论方面分析了人们行为对草原环境的影响，以影响草 原环境的主要因子——农业耕地面积，人均可利用草地面积，畜牧业产值做了 回归，得出这些因子的变化率对草原退化概率的影响；第四，以草原沙化 面积和畜牧业产值验证了环境库兹涅茨曲线，得到一个转折点，在此点之后，随 着畜牧业产值的增加，草原沙化面积在逐渐减少；最后，根据以上的研究情况， 提出了相应的对策建议。 关键词：草原生态环境影响因素 LOGIT模型 环境库兹涅茨曲线 Abstract: This paper takes the six biggest Grassland of Inner Mongolia-HulunBuir Grassland, XilinGolGrassland, Horqin grassland, grassland in Wulanchabu, Erdos grassland and grassland in Alashan as the main object of study.Firstof all,sketchingthe environmental status of grassland in Inner Mongolia. Secondly, analyzing the natural factors’(mainly temperature and precipitation) effect on the grassland environment. Thirdly, analyzing the influence of peoples behavior on the grassland environment from the economic theory’s point of view, doing LOGIT regression with the main factors which influence the grassland environment, including agricultural acreage, The per capita available grassland area andanimal husbandry output value, gain the influence of these factors’ changing rate on the probability of grassland degradation.Fourth, grassland desertification area in Inner Mongolia and animal husbandry output value of Inner Mongolia verified the environmental Kuznets curve, existing a turning point after which grassland desertification area decreases gradually with the increase of animal husbandry output value. Finally, putting forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestionsbased on the research above. Key words: Natural factorLOGITModelThe environmental Kuznets curve 1 引言 “天苍苍，野茫茫，风吹草低见牛羊”，这曾吸引无数人对内蒙古这片广袤草 原天堂的向往。但是我国经济取得突飞猛进发展的同时，脆弱的草原生态系统承 受了来自水、大气、土壤、过度放牧等多方面的剧烈冲击，从而影响畜牧业的发 展，于是如何实现畜牧