世界硫磺和磷肥市场展望2013.pptVIP

GRAPH UPDATED WITH INFORMATION FROM FERTECON RESEARCH CENTRE 9/26/2012 Canadian sulphur production has steadily decreased since 2006. Production in 2006 was around 7.9m tonnes, while production in 2011 was 6.1m tonnes. Much of the decrease is attributable to the amount of sulphur produced from gas processing, which has decreased as ample supplies of cheap gas have discouraged additional exploration and development of new gas projects, and in particular deep sour gas deposits. Canadian sulphur production is forecast to increase gradually in the next few years as sulphur production from oil sands increases. Sulphur production from refining has been fairly stable at historical levels around 500,000-600,000 tonnes/year. * Top three producing regions this year are expected to be the same. Russian and Canadian production are forecast to go up about 2% from 2011. The rise in Russia is down to phase 3 of the Karachaganak development (Kazakhstan) that will supply gas to Orenburg (Russia). As mentioned before, Canada is expected to see more production from oil sands. Middle East is expected to see a 700,000-tonne increase this year, assuming higher output in the UAE and Saudi Arabia. The FSU is likely to see 300,000 tonnes of increased output this year, because of higher output from Russia and Uzbekistan. IFA estimates that world elemental sulphur production in 2013 would grow 5.6%, to 58.1 Mt S, representing a combined net increase of 3.1 Mt from natural gas processing (+1.5 Mt) and oil refining (+1.3 Mt). Large increases in sulphur recovery are projected in West Asia and East Asia. Together, these two regions will contribute 60% of the projected expansion in 2013. * * * Global consumption of elemental sulphur is projected to grow at an annual rate of 4% over 2011 and reach 65.9 Mt S in 2016. This increase results from a combination of factors: a sustained growth in the use of sulphuric acid in the manufacture of fertilizers, and firm industrial demand, notably for o