具有垂直传染非自治SIR传染病模型的持久性与灭绝性_刘艳萍.pdfVIP

22 3 ( ) Vol. 22, No . 3 2005 8 Journal of Xinjiang University( Natural Science Edition) Aug . , 2005 SIR X 刘　艳　萍 ( , 830046) : SIR , , ( ) , . : ; SIR ; ; ; : O 175. 14 : A: 1000-2839( 2005) 03-0263-07 Persistence and Extinction for a Non-autonomous SIR Epidemic Model with Vertical Transmitted Diseases LIU Yan-ping ( College of Mathematics and System Sciences, X inj iang University , Urumqi, X inj iang 830046, China) Abstract: In t is paper a non-autonomous SIR epidemic model is studied. U nder t e quite w eak assumptions,w e not only ave establis ed t e sufficient and necessary condit ions of t e uniformly strong persistence of t e , . disease but also obtained a crit erion on t e extinction of t e disease Ke words: vertical transmitted diseases; nonautonomous SIR epidemic model; persistence; extinction; disease 0 SIR : dS dt = - B( t) SI + [ 1 - m( t) ] b( t) (S + R) + p ( t) b ( t) I - b( t) S, dI dt = B( t) SI + q( t) b ( t) I - d ( t) I - C( t) I , dR = C( t) I - d( t) R + m( t) b( t) (S + R) . ( 1) dt , S ( t) , I( t) , R( t) , N ( t) = S( t) + I( t) + R( t) , b( t) b ( t) S + R I , d( t) d ( t) , C( t) , q( t) , p ( t) = 1- q( t) , m( t) S R . ( 1) , B( t) , m( t) , b( t) , p ( t) , b ( t) , d( t) , q( t) , d ( t) C( t) , SIR : dS dt = - BSI + ( 1- m) b(S + R) + p b I - bS , dI dt =