2005年4月20日苏北地区强对流天气过程诊断分析.docVIP

2005年4月20日苏北地区强对流天气过程诊断分析 　　摘要 利用地面常规观测资料、多普勒雷达探测资料、NCEP/NCAR（1°×1°）再分析资料，应用客观诊断分析方法对2005年4月20日发生在江苏中北部大范围的强对流天气过程进行分析。结果表明：这次强对流天气发生在?|北冷涡影响的背景下，东北冷涡东移南下，冷涡后部强劲西北风急流与地面冷锋前西南风气流带来的高温高湿空气形成上层干冷、下层暖湿的不稳定层结，为强对流发生提供了有利的背景条件；高低空急流的耦合是这次强对流天气爆发的触发机制；强对流天气发生在能量锋区前沿的不稳定区内；多普勒雷达分析表明，线风暴上的多单体风暴和超级单体风暴造成了江苏中部雷暴大风、冰雹、龙卷等强天气，通过雷达径向速度识别中气旋或逆风区对雷暴大风的监测和预报有很好的指示意义，多普勒天气雷达垂直积分液体含水量可作为冰雹预警预报的一个重要参考指标。 　　关键词 强对流；诊断分析；雷达回波特征；苏北地区；2005年4月20日 　　中图分类号 P458.3 文献标识码 A 文章编号 1007-5739（2016）24-0199-06 　　Diagnostic Analysis of Severe Convective Weather Process in Northern Jiangsu Area on April 20，2005 　　ZOU Jian-xin 　　（Yangzhou Meteorological Bureau in Jiangsu Province，Yangzhou Jiangsu 225009） 　　Abstract Using the ground routine observations，Doppler radar data and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data（1°×1°），the severe convective weather process occurred in the middle and north part of Jiangsu Province on April 20，2005 was analyzed by diagnostic analysis method. The results showed that the strong convective weather process occurred in the background of the northeast cold vortex. The formation of the unstable stratification was caused by the superposition of high-level dry and cold air from the northeast cold vortex behind and low-level warm and humid air from low-level southwest jet streams，which provided favorable conditions for the occurrence of strong convective weather. The coupling of high and low jets was the triggering mechanism of the strong convective weather. The strong convective weather occurred in the unstable region of the front of the energy front. Doppler radar data analysis showed that the strong weather such as thunderstorms gale，hail and tornadoes in central Jiangsu Province were caused by multi-cell storms and super cell storms on the linear storms. The identification of mesoscale cyclones or adverse wind area by Doppler radar radial velocity was very useful for the monitoring and forecasting of thunderstorm gale. Doppler radar forecasting product of the Vert Integrated Liquid c