统计学(第二版)课件作者张德存4概率论基础.pptVIP

* 选1号库 选2号库 选3号库 不变 改变 不变 改变 改变 不变 P =1/3 P =1/3 p =1/3 注：令P(选中) = p, 假定: 车在1号库, 其他情况可类推 P(不变/选2)= 0 P(改变/选3)=1 P(改变/选2)=1 P(不变/选1)=1 P(改变/选1)= 0 P(不变/选3)= 0 * 概率计算 P(不变）＝P(选1)P(不变/选1) +P(选2)P(不变/选2) + P(选3)P(不变/选3) = (1/3)(1) + (1/3)(0) + (1/3)(0) = 1/3 P(改变）＝P(选1)P(改变/选1) +P(选2)P(改变/选2) + P(选3)P(改变/选3) = (1/3)(0) + (1/3)(1) + (1/3)(1) = 2/3 * * As a result of this class, you will be able to ... * * * * * * * * Other compound events could be formed: Tail on the second toss {HT, TT} At least 1 Head {HH, HT, TH} * To be consistent with the Ber