Project Risk Management：项目风险管理.docVIP

Project Risk Management Risk management is the systematic process of identifying, analyzing and responding to potential project risk. It includes maximizing the probability and impact of positive events and minimizing the probability and consequences of events adverse to project objectives. Figure 11.1 provides an overview of the following major processes. 11.1 Risk Management Planning—deciding how to approach and plan the risk management activities for a project. 11.2 Risk Identification—determining which risks might affect the project and documenting their characteristics. 11.3 Qualitative Risk Analysis—performing a qualitative analysis of risks and conditions to prioritize their effects on project objectives. 11.4 Quantitative Risk Analysis—measuring the probability and impact of risks and estimating their implications for project objectives. 11.5 Risk Response Planning—developing procedures and techniques to enhance opportunities and to reduce threats to the project’s objectives. 11.6 Risk Monitoring and Control—monitoring residual risks, identifying new risks, executing risk reduction plans and evaluating their effectiveness through the project life cycle. {Note to insert chart with processes with inputs, tools techniques, outputs like pg 112 of the PMBOK Guide, 1996} These processes interact with each other and with the processes in the other knowledge areas. Each process generally occurs at least once in every project. Although processes are presented here as discrete elements with well-defined interfaces, in practice they may overlap and interact in ways not detailed here. Process interactions are discussed in detail in Chapter 3. Project risk is an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, has a positive or negative effect on a project objective. A risk has a cause and, if it occurs, an impact. For example, the cause may be requiring a permit or having limited personnel assigned to the project. The risk event is that the permit may take lo