基于相关分析和安全车距的跟驰模型-交通运输工程学报-长安大学.PDFVIP

　　 　　 交 通 运 输 工 程 学 报 第7 卷　第1期 Vol.7　No.1 2007 年2 月 Journal of T raffic and Transportation Engineering Feb. 2007 :1671-1637(2007)0-1007-3 03 1, 2 1 1 张浩然 ,任　刚 ,王　炜 (1. , 　210096;2., 　100010) 　:为精确模拟动力性能各异 车辆之间 跟驰行为,分析了跟驰实验数据和车辆动力性能, 采用回归分析法筛选变量,建立新 跟驰模型。根据车辆动力性能与车距修正模型,使模型模拟结 果更符合车辆 动力性能,并具有广泛 适用性。模型模拟加速度、速度和位置与实测值之间 相 对误差分别为6.0%、0.1%和1.0%,相关系数分别为0.863、0.998 和 1.000。由此表明模型可精 确模拟车辆性能各异与车速和车间距离散性较大 跟驰车队。 :交通安全;交通仿真;跟驰模型;相关分析;安全车距;车辆动力性能 :U491.255　　　:A Car-following model based on correlation analysis and safe headway 1,2 1 1 Zhang Hao-ran , Ren Gang , Wang Wei (1.School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, Jiangsu, China; 2.China Highway Planning and Design Institute(HPDI)Consultants, Inc., eijing 100010, China) Abstract:In order to accurately simulate car-following vehicles with different various dynamic performances, ca-r following experimental data and vehicles dynamic performances were analyzed, some variables were selected by regression analysis method, a new ca-r following model was established. The model was improved according to vehicles dynamic performances, so that car- following simulation result was compatible with vehicles dynamic performances;the model was revised according to the distances between vehicles, so that the model had applicability. Relative errors between the simulation values and experimental data of acceleration, velocity and position are respectively 6.0%, 0.1% and 1.0%, their correlation coefficients are respectively 0.863, 0.998 and 1.000. The result shows that the model accurately