农业电力消费与农业产出关系的区域异质性.PDFVIP

056 济 经 境 环 源 资 Regional Heterogeneity of the Relationship between Agricultural Electricity Consumption and Agricultural Output in China: Based on the D-H Causality Test of Provincial Panel Data and PVAR Analysis 中国农业电力消费与农业产出关系的区域异质性 ——基于省际面板数据的D-H因果检验及PVAR分析 陈华超，杨纯纯 CHEN Hua-chao, YANG Chun-chun 东北财经大学　统计学院，辽宁　大连　116025 Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian, Liaoning　116025 摘要：基于中国 1995 年—2014 年农业电力消费和农业产出的省际面板数据，使用 Dumitrescu-Hurlin 面板因果检验和基于 PVAR 的脉冲响应函数曲线，分析了中国全局和分地区农业电力消费与农业产出之 间的内在联系及其区域异质性。实证分析结果表明，农业电力消费和农业产出在全国范围内和东部、中 部地区，均存在双向因果关系，在西部地区存在从农业电力消费到农业产出的单向因果关系，在东北地 区存在着从农业产出到农业电力消费的单向因果关系；东北地区对于农业电力消费和农业产出的冲击响 应最为明显，西部地区的农业电力消费和农业产出之间存在最强的路径依赖。 关键词：农业电力消费；农业产出；区域异质性；Dumitrescu-Hurlin 因果检验；PVAR F124.5 A 1007-6875(2017)05-0056-11 中图分类号： 　　　文献标识码： 　　　文章编号： Abstract: Based on the provincial panel data of agricultural electricity consumption and agricultural output from 1995 to 2014 in China , this paper analyzes the internal relations and regional heterogeneity between agricultural electricity consumption and agricultural output in the whole and sub regions of China using Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test and the PVAR based impulse response function curve. The empirical study shows that: there exists bidirectional causality between agricultural electricity consumption and agricultural output in the whole and the eastern and central regions, unidirectional causality from agricult