基于流域单元和信息量法的白龙江流域泥石流危险性评价.PDFVIP

兰州大学学报: 自然科学版, 2017, 53(3) / 6 月 Journal of Lanzhou University ：Natural Sciences，2017 ，53(3) / June 基于流域单元和信息量法的白龙江流域 泥石流危险性评价 刘林通, 孟兴民, 郭 鹏, 赵 岩, 熊木齐, 庆 丰, 陈 玺 兰州大学 资源环境学院, 甘肃省环境地质与灾害防治工程研究中心, 兰州 730000 摘 要：基于流域单元和信息量法对甘肃省白龙江流域泥石流危险性展开评价, 采用区域内已知的 309 条泥石流沟对评价结果进行验证. 结果表明: 评价为中度和重度泥石流危险性的沟谷中有79% 实际发生过泥石流活动, 表明将流域单元和信息量法相结合的方法对泥石流危险性评价的结果基本 上符合研究区泥石流的现状, 而且评价精度和准度较高; 地震动峰值加速度、流域面积和归一化植 被指数是影响白龙江流域泥石流危险性评价结果的主要因素; 中度及重度危险性的沟谷主要集中分 布于宕昌县、舟曲县、武都区和文县, 其中以宕昌县、武都区和舟曲县3 个地区最为严重, 文县次之, 迭部县主要为轻度及以下. 关键词：泥石流; 危险性评价; 信息量法; 流域单元; 白龙江 中图分类号：P694 文献标识码：A 文章编号: 0455-2059(2017)03-0292-08 DOI: 10.13885/j.issn.0455-2059.2017.03.002 Assessment of debris flow hazards in the Bailongjiang River based on the watershed unit and information value method Liu Lin-tong, Meng Xing-min, Guo Peng, Zhao Yan, Xiong Mu-qi, Qing Feng, Chen Xi Gansu Environmental Geology and Geohazards Engineering Research Centre, College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China Abstract: The watershed unit and information value method were used to evaluate the hazards of debris flow along the Bailongjiang River in Gansu Province and the evaluation results were validated by the 309 known debris flow valleys in the region, showing that the region was of moderate and severe hazards and 79% of the valleys had actually experienced a debris flow. It was well proved that this method could be applied to the assessment of the hazards of debris flow for its highly precise and accurate rating of risks. The peak ground acceleration, watershed area and normalized difference vegetation index were the criti- cal factors in the estimation of risks in the Bailongjiang River. The severe and moderate dangerous val- leys are mainly concentrated in Tanchang,