China’s Future Role in the Pacific Rim Trade of Forest Products.pptVIP

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China’s Future Role in the Pacific Rim Trade of Forest Products.ppt

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China’s Future Role in the Pacific Rim Trade of Forest Products

China’s Future Role in the Pacific Rim Trade of Forest ProductsForest Resources Association, May 2002Port Angeles, Washington H?kan Ekstr?m Wood Resources International Ltd. The Current Status of Timber Resources Use of Industrial Roundwood Current Trade of Wood and Paper Products Future S/D Balance and Implications on Trade Est. 128 million ha of “forested” land Est. 88 million ha of industrial timber Est. 35 million ha of plantation forests Est. 6 million ha of S/M plantations Industrial Roundwood Consumption in 1998 Forecast of Paper Paperboard Consumption Conclusions Strong economic growth and increased per capita consumption of forest products. Reduced harvests from native forests. Wood Resources International Ltd. Status of the Timber Resources Probable Timber Supply by Forest Type in 1998 Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd. Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd. Wood Fiber Consumption by the Pulp Industry Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd. Est. Probable Supply/ Demand Balance in 1998 Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd. Log Imports to China 1990-2001 Source: FAS and ChinaWood Softwood Lumber Imports to China 1997-2001 Source: FAS and ChinaWood Pulp Paper Imports to China 1990-2000 Source: APP PPI Changes in Probable Timber Supply 1998-2010 Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd. Conifer Non-Conifer Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd. Industrial Roundwood Demand by Product Area Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd. Change in Forest Product Net Trade in 2010 Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd. There will be: These two factors will cause China to emerge as the principal conifer import market in the Pacific Rim. 1 4 All forestland in China is technically owned by the State, although approximately 55% is managed by local or provincial collectives, and a very small portion has been “privatized” through long-term leases to farmers and cooperatives.