区域城镇化差异对房地产价格的影响-社科网.PDFVIP

Forum on Development Economics No.1, 201423 ◆罗良文潘雅茹1 Liang-wen Luo Ya-ru Pan 区域城镇化差异对房地产价格的影响 ——基于省际面板数据的实证分析 Regional difference of urbanization impact on real estate prices ——the empirical analysis based on provincial panel data 摘要：本文采用 2004-2012 年全国 30 个省市区的面板数据，实证分析了我国东、中、西地区人口城 镇化、产业城镇化和土地城镇化的区域差异及其对房地产价格的影响。实证结果表明全国城镇化发展水 平存在明显不均衡现象，各地区城镇化水平对房地产价格的影响也具有较大差异。人口城镇化水平在中 部和西部地区对房地产价格影响显著，对东部地区则不显著；产业城镇化水平和土地城镇化水平在东、 中部地区对房地产价格有明显的正向作用，而在西部地区则作用不显著。因此本文认为，在加快推进新 型城镇化的过程中，各地区需要根据当地城镇化发展的实际情况，采取针对性的政策来协调城镇化发展 与房地产价格上涨之间的关系，以实现新型城镇化又好又快的发展。 关键词：城镇化区域差异房地产价格面板模型 中图分类号：F229.23 文献标识码：A Abstract: This paper uses the panel data between 2004 to 2012 of 30 provinces in the country, empirical analysis the regional difference of Population urbanization, industrial urbanization and land urbanization in our countrys eastern, central and western areas and its impact on real estate prices.The empirical results show that the urbanization development level on the national imbalanced, and the impact of regional urbanization levels on real estate prices also has bigger difference.Population urbanization level in the central and western regions has significant effects on real estate prices, in the eastern region is not significant. Industry urbanization level 1作者简介：罗良文，男，中南财经政法大学经济学院副院长、教授、博士生导师。 潘雅茹，女，中南财经政法大学经济学院博士生。 ·1 · Forum on Development Economics No.1, 201423 and land urbanization level in the east and central region has obvious positive effect to the real estate prices, while in the western region effect was not significant.So this paper argues that, in the accelerated process of new