水资源约束下的区域煤炭开发利用策略-宏观经济研究院.pdfVIP

研究与探讨 Research and Approach 水资源约束下的区域煤炭开发 利用策略 —以宁夏回族自治区为例 陈亚林  ，赵  增  ，叶  春1 1 2 （1．南京财经大学管理科学与工程学院，南京 2 10023 ；2. 国家能源局，北京 100824） 摘要：我国资源禀赋结构决定煤炭在未来一段时间将是我国重要的基础能源。煤炭开发利用主 要形式包括煤炭开采、火力发电和煤化工，均为高耗水产业。我国煤炭资源与水资源在空间分布上 的矛盾使得水资源条件成为开发煤电基地的制约因素。在确定采煤、燃煤发电、煤化工产业等需水 环节用水定额值得基础上，以优化产量、减少污染排放为目标，考虑水资源、能源需求等约束，建 立煤炭开发利用的多目标决策模型，并设计算法进行求解；以宁夏回族自治区为具体研究对象，基 于上述煤炭开发利用模型，获取2016-2020 年不同取水情况与目标权重下的煤炭开发利用规模，对 我国科学地制定“十三五”能源规划具有一定的参考意义。 煤炭 开发利用 模型 水资源约束 宁夏 关键词： ； ； ； ； 中图分类号：F426.2文献标识码：A 文章编号：1003-2355-(2014)12-0018-08 Doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-2355.2014.12.004 Abstract: The inherent natural resource structure determines that coal in China will be the important basic energy resource for a considering time in the future. The main pattern to exploit and utilize coal such as mining, power generation and coal chemical industry are all demand for plenty of water. Then, the coal-based development is restricted by conflict in spatial distribution between coal resources and water resources. China government has enforced “the most stringent water resources management” since 20 12 to protect national water resources and optimize industry lied on water. We do research on quota of water for coal mining, coal-fired power generation, coal chemical industry, which makes the base for establish coal development and utilization of multi-obj ective decision model, and then design algorithms solving model to optimize production, pollution emissions targets under the constraints from water, energy demand and environment constraints. Taking Ningxia as an example, it obtains the scales for development and utilization of coal from 2016 to 2020 under different constraints of water resource. Key words: Coal; Development and Utilization; Model; Constrai