1956~2013年汉江流域降雨和气温变化特性分析.pdfVIP

Journal of Water Resources Research 水资源研究, 2015, 4(4), 345-352 Published Online August 2015 in Hans. /journal/jwrr /10.12677/jwrr.2015.44042 The Characteristic Analysis of Rainfall and Temperature between 1956 and 2013 in the Hanjiang River Basin 1 2 1 Yu Li , Xue Wang , Guoxue Zhang 1 Bureau of Hydrology of Changjiang Water Resources Commission, Wuhan Hubei 2 Comprehensive Management Centre of Changjiang Water Resources Commission, Wuhan Hubei Email: liyuwhu@163.com rd th th Received: Jul. 23 , 2015; accepted: Aug. 6 , 2015; published: Aug. 18 , 2015 Copyright © 2015 by authors and Hans Publishers Inc. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). /licenses/by/4.0/ Abstract In order to evaluate the characteristics and change trend of the surface precipitation and temperature in the middle and lower reaches of the Hanjiang River before the working of the middle route of the South-to- North Water Diversion Project, eighteen meteorological stations were selected. Furthermore, mathematical statistics, Mann-Kendall test and Spearman test were used, and two aspects of temperature and runoff were analyzed based on the meteorological data of the selected stations. The results are as follows. 1) The surface precipitation of the upper drainage area of Hanjiang River basin is 158 mm more than that of the lower drainage area; the temperature of the whole basin has been raised since 1990. 2) After trend analysis, it un- folds that the change trends of the rain-time series in this region are not noticeable, but the temperature shows a significant rise. 3) The imbalance between water supply and demand in the lower Hanjiang River basin will be very conspicuous, if there are not any engineering and non-engineering actions to take. Keywords