人民币不宜升值的理由及应对策略-华东经济管理.PDFVIP

　 2003 年 12 月 华 　东 　经 　济 　管 　理 Dec. , 2003 　　　　　　　　　　　　 第 17 卷第 6 期 　　　　　　　　　　　　East China Economic Management Vol. 17 ,No. 6 人民币不宜升值的理由及应对策略 高建宁 (江苏经贸职业技术学院 , 江苏 　南京 　210007) [摘要] 由于中国长期享有贸易顺差以及外资的大量流入, 人民币目前的确存在着升值压力 , 因此一些国 家 , 尤其是日美为了本国的利益借机要求人民币升值的呼声日渐升温。如何看待这一问题 ? 文章较全面地 通过分析人民币升值对经济的影响 , 并结合国际上的不同争论得出结论认为 : 人民币当前不宜贸然升值 ; 同时进一步提出了缓解升值压力的应对策略。 [ 关键词] 贸易顺差 ; 外资流入 ; 人民币升值 ; 汇率 [ 中图分类号] F812 　　　 [文献标识码] A 　　　 [文章编号] 1007 —5097 (2003) 06 —0129 —04 The reasons of RMBs not being allowed to raise its value and counter solutions GAO Jianling ( ) Jiangsu Institute of Economic T rade Technology , N anjin g 210007 , China Abstract : Because China has enjo yed the trade surplus for a long time and large amounts of foreign capital has rushed in China , now RMB is really being faced with the pressure of raising its value , Therefore , some countries , especially USA and Japan , for the inter ests of their own , have called on RMBs raising its value more and more. How to deal with this problem ? By analying the effects of RMBs raising value on our economy and combining many different international arguments , this article comes to the conclusion that : in the current situation , RMBs value should not be raised hesitantly and furthermore , comes up with counter solutions of the alleviating the pressure of RMBs ra