北京公共自行车换乘模式研究本科毕业论文.doc

北京城市学院2012届毕业设计（论文） 北京公共自行车换乘模式研究 学生姓名：班 级： 专 业： 学 部： 指导教师： 二〇一二年五月 北京公共自行车换乘模式研究 Beijing public bicycle transfer mode research 摘要 随着城市交通机动化的发展，交通拥堵、环境污染越来越严重，发展慢行交通，建立公共自行车系统，鼓励更多的出行者采用非机动交通工具，引导居民形成“公共自行车+公共交通”的出行模式，是提高城市交通运行效率和减少环境污染的有效途径。 论文首先通过国内外公共自行车系统现状的对比，结合自行车交通在城市交通中的发展和公共自行车系统的社会效益，指出了我国城市建立和推行公共自行车系统的必要性，并对公共自行车系统的运营模式和功能定位进行了探讨。 其次，从诸多因素考虑，对租赁点选址进行研究，从而确定租赁点的地址和设施规模。对交通需求的预测这里采用了四阶段法和双约束重力模型相结合的方法，在交通流分配环节中采用路段阻抗函数对道路的通行能力和流量进行数据调查，做出对某区域自行车出行量的预测。并且对北京公共自行车换乘营运管理及提高北京公共自行车换乘措施进行研究，提出相应的对策和建议。 最后，从规划设计、运营管理、设施建设这三个方面对北京公共自行车发展问题作出总结。 关键词：公共自行车；换乘模式；租赁点选址；需求量预测 Abstract With the development of mechanization of city traffic, traffic congestion, environmental pollution is becoming more and more serious, the development of slow traffic, establish public bike system, encourage more travelers using non motorized traffic tool， guide residents to form a public bicycles and public transportation travel mode， improve city traffic operation efficiency and reduce environmental pollution effectively way. Firstly, through domestic and foreign public bike system status contrast， combined with the bicycle traffic in city traffic development and the public bicycle system social benefit, pointed out our country city to establish and carry out the public bike system necessity, and on the public bicycle system operation mode and function orientation of. Secondly, from the many factors to consider, to lease site selection study to determine the address and facilities of the scale of rental points. Traffic demand forecast using the method of combining the four-stage method and the double-constrained gravity model, in the sections of impedance function in the distribution chain of the traffic flow on road capacity and traffic data survey, to make the amount of bicycles in a given region predictions. And the Beijing Public Bicycle Ride operational management and the Beijing Public Bicycle Ride measures put f