[经管营销]Uncertainty and Supply Chain Planning.pdfVIP

下载本文档

2
0
约2.66万字
约 48页
2018-02-14 发布于浙江
举报
版权申诉

[经管营销]Uncertainty and Supply Chain Planning.pdf

1、原创力文档（book118）网站文档一经付费（服务费），不意味着购买了该文档的版权，仅供个人/单位学习、研究之用，不得用于商业用途，未经授权，严禁复制、发行、汇编、翻译或者网络传播等，侵权必究。。
2、本站所有内容均由合作方或网友上传，本站不对文档的完整性、权威性及其观点立场正确性做任何保证或承诺！文档内容仅供研究参考，付费前请自行鉴别。如您付费，意味着您自己接受本站规则且自行承担风险，本站不退款、不进行额外附加服务；查看《如何避免下载的几个坑》。如果您已付费下载过本站文档，您可以点击这里二次下载。
3、如文档侵犯商业秘密、侵犯著作权、侵犯人身权等，请点击“版权申诉”（推荐），也可以打举报电话：400-050-0827(电话支持时间：9:00-18:30)。
4、该文档为VIP文档，如果想要下载，成为VIP会员后，下载免费。
5、成为VIP后，下载本文档将扣除1次下载权益。下载后，不支持退款、换文档。如有疑问请联系我们。
6、成为VIP后，您将拥有八大权益，权益包括：VIP文档下载权益、阅读免打扰、文档格式转换、高级专利检索、专属身份标志、高级客服、多端互通、版权登记。
7、VIP文档为合作方或网友上传，每下载1次，网站将根据用户上传文档的质量评分、类型等，对文档贡献者给予高额补贴、流量扶持。如果你也想贡献VIP文档。上传文档

[经管营销]Uncertainty and Supply Chain Planning

Uncertainty and Supply Chain Planning Stephen C. Graves MIT October 2010 Intent and Overview • Review and discuss how uncertainty is handled in supply chain planning • Types of uncertainties • Framework for planning • Critique of common practices • Possible improvements – Set of tactical decisions as counter measures – Current planning systems do not provide adequate decision support – Implications for research and practice October 2010 Stephen C. Graves 2 Types of Uncertainty • Uncertainty in demand forecast • Uncertainty in external supply process • Uncertainty in internal supply process • Induced variability (ie, bullwhip) from planning rules October 2010 Stephen C. Graves 3 Uncertainty in demand forecast • Most prominent source of uncertainty • Quixotic desire for better forecast • Prevalence of forecast bias • Importance of understanding dynamics of forecast processes October 2010 Stephen C. Graves 4 October 2010 Stephen C. Graves 5 October 2010 Stephen C. Graves 6 October 2010 Stephen C. Graves 7 October 2010 Stephen C. Graves 8 Types of Uncertainty • Uncertainty in demand forecast • Uncertainty in external supply process • Uncertainty in internal supply process • Induced variability (ie, bullwhip) from planning rules October 2010