机车生产系统论文.docVIP

摘 要 本文以当前我国机械行业安全现状为基础，分析了机车生产系统的事故特点，运用轨迹交叉理论，建立了机车生产系统的事故致因模型，并对机车生产系统安全影响因素进行了透彻、细致的分析。遵循指标筛选的方法和指标建立的原则，经过专家咨询后，从安全管理、人为因素、设备因素、环境因素四个方面建立了机车生产系统的安全评价指标体系。指标体系的建立并用了定性与定量相结合的方法确定了指标的权重，该指标体系能较好的反映机车生产系统的安全状况。基于综合评价的基础上，采用模糊综合分析法，建立了机车生产系统评价模型，并引入评比等级来定量分析评比结果。最后，以南车成都机车车辆有限公司为实例模型，应用模糊综合分析的模型，结合综合因素打分表的要求对其安全状况进行评价，得出了该公司的安全级别，进而验证了机车生产系统指标体系和评价模型的可靠性和可行性。 关键词：机械行业；机车生产系统；指标体系；模糊综合分析法；安全评比等级等 Abstract The paper analyzes the accident characteristic of?Locomotive Production System based on Safety status of?Machinery Industry, applies the principle of the Theory of Track-Intersect, then founds the Locomotive Production System accident–causing model and introduces the safety influence factors in thorough and detailed analysis. After following the principle and method about founding index system, the paper establishes the safety assessment index system of Locomotive Production System from management, people, equipment, and environment by consulting experts. This index system sets up with qualitative and quantitative methods to calculate the weight of every index. The index system reflects the real status of Locomotive Production System. On?the basis of?comprehensive evaluation, which adopts fuzzy comprehensive analysis method, founds Locomotive Production System evaluation model and brings fuzzy characteristic quantity of safety grade into dealing with the assessment result. At last, the”CSR CHENGDU CO.LTD.”as a example ,this paper apples the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model,carries on the assessment of evaluation status and acquires the safety grades of the company. The evaluation result is proved that the index system models are feasible and available. Key words: Machinery industry；Locomotive Production System；Index System；Fuzzy comprehensive analysis method；Evaluation level  目 录 第一章 绪论 1 1.1机械行业的安全现状 1 1.2 高速列车生产安全现状 1 1.3 机车生产环节中安全管理及整体机械行业安全管理现状 2 1.4、机械行业中安全评价的国内外研究现状 3 1.4.1国外研究现状 3 1.4.2 国内研究现状 4 1.5课题研究内容 5 1.6研究的指导思想和方法 6 1.6.1指导思想 6 1.6.2研究方法 6 第二