MPRSES2-ForecastingDemand教学幻灯片讲义.pptVIP

Master Planning of Resources;Master Planning of Resources;Session 2 Objectives;What Is a Forecast?;Why Forecast?;Areas Impacted by the Forecast;Forecast System Design Issues;General Forecasting Techniques;General Forecasting Data Sources;Demand;Seasonality Calculation ;Calculation of Seasonal Index;Economic Cycle;Pyramid Forecasting;Technique—Pyramid Forecasting Example;Pyramid Forecasting Using Revenue;2-*;2-*;Quantitative Techniques; Moving Average Forecasting;NEW FORECAST = a ? ACTUAL DEMAND + (1-a) ? OLD FORECAST NEW FORECAST = OLD FORECAST + a ? (ACTUAL DEMAND - OLD FORECAST);2-*;2-*;0.1