[经济学]计量经济学基础第4章课件.ppt

Chapter 4 Prediction, Goodness-of-fit, and Modeling Issues Walter R. Paczkowski Rutgers University 4.1 Least Square Prediction 4.2 Measuring Goodness-of-fit 4.3 Modeling Issues 4.4 Polynomial Models 4.5 Log-linear Models 4.6 Log-log Models Chapter Contents 4.1 Least Squares Prediction The ability to predict is important to: business economists and financial analysts who attempt to forecast the sales and revenues of specific firms government policy makers who attempt to predict the rates of growth in national income, inflation, investment, saving, social insurance program expenditures, and ta