生产力不平衡结构下中国区域差距的实证研究 ——基于区域间投入产出和随机前沿模型的分析[精品].doc

生产力不平衡结构下中国区域差距的实证研究 ——基于区域间投入产出和随机前沿模型的分析 Abstract Since the 1970s, our country’s economy has advanced speedy development t hat attracts worldwide attention. However, at the same time, the regional gap is widening, which threatens the sustainable, steady and healthy development of our country’s economy. Therefore, many researches have been carried out in order to find the reasons for the widening gap and various valuable suggestions have been offered for the regional economy development. First, this thesis analyzes the characteristics of the China’s regional development, and points out the following features like inequilibrium of productivity structure, the mechanism of introducing advanced science and technology, strong government control, wide gap between eastern coastal area and hinterland, severe disparity of natural resources between regions, etcFollowing this is a description of the evolution of China’s regional development, which eventually leads to the structural unbalance of regional productivity. This thesis then goes on to propose two major hypothesis: First, the coastal areas absorbed a large amount of advance technologies and skills from abroad is the main reason for China’s regional disparity; second, introduced technologies have indeed played a major role in promoting the economic growth of the eastern coastal areas, however, their interregional feedback effects and spillovers are quite weak, and thus have little impacts on the economic development of underdeveloped regions, finally, contributing to the serious income disparity between different regions in China. Then based upon the stochastic frontier analysis and interregional input-output model, the thesis develops a framework to empirically test these hypotheses mentioned above using the data from 1978-2004, and gives some suggestions on the China’s regional development policies and industrial design. At last, it suggests a three-stage development objective for China抯 regio