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基于系统动力学的城市客运出租车定价研究-交通运输规划与管理专业论文
优秀毕业论文
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Abstract
Taxi is an indispensable part of urban passenger transport system, which plays an important role in the management, development and stability of urban passenger traffic market. Taxi pricing involves the vital interests of the government, enterprises, driver and passenger, how to coordinate the relationship between different stakeholders, and analyze the dynamic, complexity influence of urban passenger taxi pricing, is an urgent problem to solve. Based on the analysis of different stakeholder relation in taxi industry, this paper constructs the model of city passenger taxi pricing by the theory of system dynamics, providing effective pricing schemes for the healthy development of the taxi industry.
This paper analyzes the influence factors of urban passenger taxi pricing, then combining economics theory expounds the composition and basic principle, and investigates 22 cities taxi pricing in China. Emphasis on the status of main benefit body in urban passenger rental industry, analyze the different stakeholders relationship between government management department, taxi company, drivers and passengers, etc.
Based on system dynamics theory, taking the taxi service level and prices as potential influence factors of taxi demand, and considering the relations between the interest subjects of taxi industry, this paper constructs the model of city passenger taxi pricing. Through the analysis of causal relationship of system module structure and module factors of taxi pricing, establish the taxi pricing causality diagram system and flow diagram, not only construct the dynamics model of taxi pricing system, but also take parameter estimation and validity check of the model.
Combing the operation data of taxi industry in Harbin, this paper specifically analyzes the change of starting fare, fuel surcharge, driver wage changes and other scenarios, and find that the change of taxi pricing showed a rising trend on influence of potential demand, this paper
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