郑州市消费水平济学分析.doc

摘 要 在整个经济学界的视野中，消费问题和经济增长问题一直都是紧密相连的。改革开放以来，我国一直保持较快的经济增长，但经济增长结构并不合理。尤其是近些年来，经济增长过度依赖出口与投资的拉动，消费的贡献越来越小。较低的消费水平和过高的储蓄率已经是我国经济持续、健康增长的障碍。文章以郑州市为例，选取了三个指标。运用计量经济学方法研究了影响消费水平的各个因素：国民生产总值、人口数量、价格指数。在对这些因素进行多元回归和一元回归分析的基础上，探讨了居民消费水平随之呈线性变动的趋势和规律。最后提出了以提高郑州市居民消费水平为目的的几项对策。 关键词：物价水平；人口数量；经济指标；人均消费水平；郑州市 ABSTRACT In view of the economists, consumer issues and economic growth have been closely linked. Since reform and opening, China has maintained rapid economic growth, but the economic growth structure is unreasonable. In particular, in recent years, over-reliance on economic growth driven by exports and investment, the contribution of consumption is becoming smaller and smaller. In china, lower consumption levels and high savings rate have already been the obstacles of sustained, healthy economic growth. the articles was exemplified by Zhengzhou City and selected three indicators. By the use of econometric methods, we studied various factors that affected the consumption level : gross national production, population, price index. In multiple regression on these factors and a regression analysis based on the consumption level of residents, we discussed the linear trend and the law changes. Finally, several countermeasures was given in order to improve the level of residents consumption of Zhengzhou City . Key words：Price level; Population; Economic Indicators; Per capita consumption level; Zhengzhou City 目 录 摘要……………….......................………………………………..…….….…………… .I ABSTRACT……….....................................………….……………………..…………….II 1前言….…………………………………………….….…………………………………..1 1.1研究目的和意义………….....................................………….………….………..1 1.2 国内各地区研究现状...….…………………………...............................................1 1.3 研究路线.........………………………………..……….…………………………...2 2郑州市居民消费水平概况.................................................................................................3 2.1 消费水平状况.....................................................................