互补还是替代：中国与中亚国家外贸的“共享式”长-定稿.docxVIP

第十五届“挑战杯”全国大学生课外学术科技作品竞赛“一带一路”国际专项赛参赛作品 PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT 14第十五届“挑战杯”全国大学生课外学术科技作品竞赛申报论文互补还是替代：中国与中亚国家外贸的“共享式”增长舒子瑞 高松涛 王佳指导老师：唐玲（博士）二零一七年五月 长沙中文摘要： 本文采用2006-2015年Comtrade数据库的进出口数据，测算了中国与中亚国家2006-2015年各细分产业（包括制造业和服务业）的互补性和竞争性，结果表明：制造业方面，中国作为进口国时，与中亚在采矿业，皮革、毛皮、羽毛（绒）及其制品制造业，农副食品制造业等行业的互补性高，中国作为出口国时，与中亚在采矿业，非金属矿物制品制造业，交通运输设备制造业，造纸及纸制品业等行业的互补性高。服务业方面，中国在建筑服务业、计算机和信息服务业、个人文化和娱乐服务业竞争性指数高，具有比较优势，应积极开拓中亚市场，但在旅游业、保险服务业、金融服务业与中亚国家竞争性相当，应弱化合作。关键词：经贸合作 互补性 竞争性Abstract: Based on the import and export data of Comtrade database in 2006 and 2015, this paper estimates the complementarity and competitiveness of sub - industries (including manufacturing and service industries) between China and Central Asian countries in 2006 and 2015. The results show that the manufacturing industry, China as an importer, with Central Asia in the mining industry, leather, fur, feathers (velvet) and its products manufacturing, agricultural and sideline products manufacturing industry and other industries are highly complementary, China as an exporting country, with Central Asia in mining Industry, non-metallic mineral products manufacturing, transportation equipment manufacturing, paper and paper products industry and other industries of high complementarity. In the service sector, China has a high competitive advantage in the construction services, computer and information services, personal culture and entertainment services. It has a comparative advantage and should actively explore the Central Asian market, but in tourism, insurance and financial services sectors, it has similar competitiveness with Central Asian countries, so we should weaken cooperation.目录 TOC \o 1-3 \h \z \u HYPERLINK \l _Toc482784000 1.绪论 PAGEREF _Toc482784000 \h 3 HYPERLINK \l _Toc482784001 1.1研究背景及意义 PAGEREF _Toc482784001 \h 3 HYPERLINK \l _Toc482784002 1.2文献综述 PAGEREF _Toc482784002 \h 3 HYPERLINK \l _Toc482784003 1.3本文的研究思路和方法 PAGEREF _Toc482784003 \h 4 HYPERLINK \l _Toc482784004 2.研究分析 P