HECHMS模型在南水北调东线水资源调度中应用.docVIP

HECHMS模型在南水北调东线水资源调度中应用 　　摘要：介绍了HEC-HMS水文模型系统，利用HEC-GeoHMS模块，由数字高程模型(DEM)生成洪泽湖、骆马湖、南四湖及东平湖上游数字流域，并对每个流域进行降雨径流模拟，模型考虑了流域内水利工程及河道取水的影响。结果表明：HEC-HMS模型应用方便，对南水北调东线沿线地区有较好的适用性，计算结果和观测入湖流量有较好的拟合，能为东线工程的水资源调度决策提供区间来水模拟预报。 　　关键词：南水北调；HEC-HMS；DEM；水文模型；降雨产流 　　中图分类号：TV68；P337 　　文献标识码：A 　　文章编号：1672-1683(2007)06-0058-04 　　 　　Application of HEC-HMS Program to Water Resources Allocation for East Route of South-to-North Diversion Project 　　WANG Li，ZHAO Hong-li，JIANG Yun-zhong 　　(China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research，Beijing 100044，China) 　　Abstract：The HEC-HMS program developed at the Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC) is briefly introduced in this paper，and based on the DEM of Hongze，Luoma，Nansi，and Dongping Lake，the HEC-GeoHMS，a public-domain extension to the ArcView GIS and Spatial Analyst extension，is used to create the digital basin of water above the lakes. Finally the rainfall-runoff processes of the basin are simulated，and after considering the effect of reservoirs and water consumption on runoff downstream，the flow at the outlets of basin and the inflows of lake and calculated in the HEC-HMS. The good fitting of flow calculated and observed indicates that the HEC-HMS is quite suited for the study area. It can provide flow input for and be integrated with water resources allocation model for real time operation along the East Route of South to North Water Diversion Project. 　　Key words：South-to-North Water Diversion；HEC-HMS；DEM；Hydrological model；Rainfall-runoff simulation 　　 　　1 前 言 　　 　　南水北调东线工程从长江下游河段引水，基本沿京杭大运河逐级提水北送。由于工程输水河道地势较低，受高程限制，东线工程的主要供水范围是黄淮海平原东部和胶东地区，分为黄河以南、胶东地区和黄河以北3片。主要供水目标是解决调水线路沿线和胶东地区的城市及工业用水，改善淮北地区的农业供水条件，并在北方需要时，提供生态和农业用水。东线工程输水河道、泵站、湖泊运行管理复杂，运行费用较高。从经济角度出发，在实际运行时应首先考虑当地水资源的合理开发利用，在当地水资源无法满足用水需求时使用外调水。合理配置当地水资源是保证东线工程沿线受水地区水资源高效利用的基础，而水资源的优化配置首先要基于区间来水的准确预报。 　　东线工程供水区地处黄、淮、海诸河下游，输水渠道连通了洪泽湖、骆马湖、南四湖和东平湖，这些湖泊是东线工程实施前当地的主要水源，同时也被作为东线工程向受水区输水的调蓄水库。湖泊的区间来水量，影响着东线工程受水区水资源分配方案的制定。本文应用HEC-HMS模型，模拟湖泊上游降雨径流过程，计算湖泊汇流区间的来水量，为水资