第三届丘成桐大学生数学竞赛试题-概率统计及应用数学.docVIP

INDIVIDUAL TEST S.-T YAU COLLEGE MATH CONTESTS 2012 Probability and Statistics Please solve 5 out of the following 6 problems, or highest scores of 5 problems will be counted. Solve the following two problems: 1) An urn contains bblack balls and rred balls. One of the balls was drawn at random, and putted back in the urn with a additional balls of the same color. Now suppose that the second ball drawn at random is red. What is the probability that the ?rst ball drawn was black? 2) Let (X n) be a sequence of random variables satisfying lim sup P (|X n| a) = 0. a→∞ n≥1 Assume that sequence