哈尔滨短临天气预报研究-自然灾害学报.PDF

15 3 Vo.l 15, No. 3 2006 6 JOURNAL OF NATURAL D ISASTERS Jun. , 2006 : 2006) 景学义, 郭家林, 张 杰, 安晓存, 王永波, 王艳秋, 于学泉, 雷呈瑞, 芳丽娟 (, 150080) : , // / /3 h / , : ; ; : P456. 1 : A Study on shortterm and imm ediate weather forecast in Harbin JING Xueyi, GUO Jialin, ZHANG Jie, AN X iaocun, WANG Yongbo, WANG Yanqiu, YU Xuequan, LEI Chengru,i FANG L ijuan (H arbinM eteorologicalAdm inistration, H arbin 150080, China) Abstract: Based on defin ition and contents of shortterm and mi mediate w eather forecast, the constructional process of the shortterm and mi med iatew eather forecast system in Harbin C ity is explained from follow ing aspects: business system process, gathering and show ing of ground element encryption inform ation, Doppler radarsw arning inform a tion and forecast index, themeteorological element information of shortterm and mi m ediate forecast for great d isas trousw eather/w arn ing inform ation/ forecast index and physical quantity, w arning information of unstable index /fore cast index and joint show ing etc. The manner andmethod in development of business are set forth. K ey words: shortterm and mi med iate forecast; temperature; precip itation , , , , , , , , , 2004, , 6, 3h, 2004 6 28, 7 10, 7 27, 8 3 , , / MM 5() 3h, , : 2006- 01- 18; : 2006- 03- 30 : : ( 1 65- ), , , , . 38 15 1 1. 1 : ( 1) 5, 8, 11, 14, 17, 20 5 m in 3 h ( 2) 1~ 3 h 1. 2 5, 8, 11, 14, 17, 20 5 m in 3 h , , 5~ 10 mm 3 h 3 h 1~ 3 h 1~ 3 h , 1. 3 1