电力系统电压失稳风险研究-电力系统及其自动化专业论文.docxVIP

摘 摘 要 万方数据 万方数据 摘 要 在国内外，电力系统电压稳定性一直是专家学者所研究的一个重难点的课 题。尤其是近些年来，电力系统正向着高电压、大电网和远距离输电的方向发 展，因电压失稳而导致系统瓦解的事故在国内外也多次发生，电力系统电压失 稳风险评估与管理已受到越来越多的电力工作人员的重视，正是针对这一问题， 本文提出了一种基于戴维南等值理论和风险理论的电压失稳风险研究。 首先介绍了课题选择的目的及意义，以及电压稳定的定义和电压失稳机理 的研究，进而对目前国内外关于电压失稳研究的主要分析方法和风险理论做了 详细的介绍。本文的核心在于应用风险理论，通过计算电压失稳的概率及后果 对电压失稳进行风险评估。首先对系统潮流进行计算，得到所研究负荷节点的 电压和功率，然后通过该节点电压对功率的偏导数求得相关灵敏度，利用此灵 敏度计算求取到所需的戴维南等值参数，然后通过电压失稳判据求取电压失稳 概率，并通过电力网络定量化计算定义电压失稳后果指标求取电压失稳后果， 最终得到本文所需研究的电压失稳风险水平。 然后对基于 SCADA 系统的全网信息对电力系统的电压失稳水平等级划分 与风险水平预估的问题进行了研究。通过本文所述的计算方法评估出电网的电 压失稳风险水平，再给出相应的风险等级和电压失稳风险分析的系统结构图。 最后，通过 IEEE RTS-79 系统算例，验证了戴维南等值参数在电压失稳风 险评估中的可行性和有效性。 关键词：戴维南等值电路；灵敏度法；电压失稳；风险评价 I AB ABSTRACT ABSTRACT Power System Voltage Stability both in domestic and foreign has always been a difficult subject that experts and scholars studied, especially in recent years, the development of the power system is being toward the direction of high voltage, high power, and long-distance transmission, the accidents of system collapse caused by voltage instability occurred repeatedly at home and abroad. Power system voltage instability risk assessment and management has been taken more and more attention on the staff of power system. In order to solve this issue, the research of voltage instability risk is proposed based on the Thevenin equivalent theory and risk theory in this paper. The purpose and significance of the subject selection and definition of voltage stability and voltage instability mechanism were introduced firstly, and then the main methods for voltage instability analysis and risk theory had been detailed introduced. The core of this paper is the application of risk theory, the risk assessment for voltage instability was made by calculating the probability and consequences of voltage instability. The flow of system was calculated firstly to get the voltage and power of studied load node, the related sensitivity of the power was obtained by the partial derivative the node voltage, this sensitivity was used to calcu