供应链构建中合作伙伴选择模型分析-农业经济管理专业论文.docx

摘要 摘 要 I I 随着经济的全球化和市场竞争的加剧，传统企业管理模式已暴露出种种 弊端，供应链管理越来越受到理论界和企业界的重视，构建供应链也逐渐成 为企业增强竞争力的重要途径。而供应链构建所面临的首要问题是合作伙伴 的选择。合作伙伴选择的正确与否，决定着整个供应链管理的成败。 本文以供应链合作伙伴的选择为研究内容。在构建合作伙伴评价指标体 系的基础上，运用模糊评价方法和 BP 神经网络预测方法，提出了一种从现状 和未来发展趋势两个方面对合作伙伴进行评价选择的模型，并对选择模型进 行了程序实现。该模型为核心企业在构建供应链过程中客观、全面的对合作 伙伴进行评价和选择提供了有效的决策支持。本文主要研究成果如下： 1．提出了共性指标和特性指标的概念，并在此基础上构建了供应链合作 伙伴评价指标体系 供应链合作伙伴类型的不同、在供应链中所处位置的不同，进行选择时 所要考虑的因素也会有所偏重。因此本文将合作伙伴评价指标分为共性指标 和特性指标，以满足评选不同类型合作伙伴的需要。 2．构建了基于模糊评价和 BP 神经网络的供应链合作伙伴选择模型 本文构建了一种基于模糊评价和 BP 神经网络的供应链合作伙伴选择模 型。该选择模型运用了模糊评价方法，能够较好的体现实际决策中的模糊性， 同时又以 BP 神经网络的预测为基础，从动态角度对备选企业未来发展趋势进 行评价，较好的解决了传统选择方法只注重现状评价的局限性。 3．用 MATLAB 软件对选择模型进行了实现 以 MATLAB 软件为工具，对选择模型进行了程序实现，为选择模型的实际 应用提供了方便。 【关键字】 供应链，合作伙伴，模糊评价，隶属度函数，BP 神经网络 Abstract Abstract II II With the globalization of economy and the intensification of market competition, traditional model of enterprise management has emerged more and more disadvantages. Under such conditions, supply chain management is more and more highly regarded by researches and enterprises. To establish the supply chain becomes the important access to promotion of enterprise’s competitiveness. The selection of the partners is the chief problem of the establishment of the supply chain, which will decide whether the supply chain management is successful or not. This dissertation chooses the selection of supply chain partners as study subject. On basis of the establishment of evaluation index system of partners, and using the method of fuzzy evaluation and BP neural network, the author has put forward a model of evaluate and select partners according to two aspects: present status and the future trend. Finally, the selection model is realized by software. This model will supply an effective decision- making support for sole enterprises to evaluate and select partners objectively and comprehensively in the establishment of supply chain. The main results of the research are as follows: 1．The conceptions of commonness index and characteristic index have