人力资源管理第五章人员规划与招募.ppt

Human Resources Management 12eGary Dessler Copyright ? 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 5–* Trend analysis can provide an initial estimate of future staffing needs, but employment levels rarely depend just on the passage of time. Other factors (like changes in sales volume and productivity) also affect staffing needs. Ratio analysis provides forecasts based on the historical ratio between (1) some causal factor (like sales volume) and (2) the number of employees required (such as number of salespeople). A scatter plot shows graphically how two variables—such as sales and your firm’s staffing levels—are related. If they are, and then if you can forecast the business activity (like sales), you should also be able to estimate your personnel needs. Human Resources Management 12eGary Dessler Copyright ? 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 5–* Figure 5-3 shows hospital size on the horizontal axis. It shows number of nurses on the vertical axis. If these two factors are related, then the points will tend to fall along a straight line, as they do here. If you carefully draw in a line to minimize the distances between the line and each one of the plotted points, you will be able to estimate the number of nurses needed for each hospital size. Thus, for a 1,200-bed hospital, the human resource director would assume she needs about 1,210 nurses. Human Resources Management 12eGary Dessler Copyright ? 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall 5–* Figure 5-3 shows hospital size on the horizontal axis. It shows number of nurses on the vertical axis. If these two factors are related, then the points will tend to fall along a straight line, as they do here. If you carefully draw in a line to minimize the distances between the line and each one of the plotted points, you will be able to estimate the number of nurses needed for each hospital size. Thus, for a 1,200-bed hospital, the human resource director would assume she