核电厂数字化主控室操纵员的情景意识可靠性模型.docVIP

核电厂数字化主控室操纵员的情景意识可靠性模型 李鹏程1，张力1，2，戴立操1，邹衍华2，青涛1，胡鸿2，赵明3 （1.南华大学人因研究所，湖南衡阳，421001；2. 湖南工学院人因与安全管理研究所，湖南衡阳，421002；3.中核核电运行管理有限公司， 浙江海盐 314300） 摘要：情景意识（Situation Awareness,SA）是影响核电厂操纵员决策和绩效的关键要素，SA可靠性是人因可靠性分析的重要组成部分。为了对SA可靠性进行定量评价，通过与核电厂操纵员访谈，建立数字化主控室操纵员的情景意识可靠性分析的贝叶斯网络模型。在此基础上，建立情景意识可靠性的定量评价程序,并结合核电厂全尺寸模拟机实验数据和贝叶斯理论，更为客观地确定了影响SA可靠性的影响因子的条件概率分布，用于定量计算SA可靠性，并通过实例分析说明该模型的具体应用。结果表明，该模型能为数字化核电厂操纵员的SA可靠性评价提供更为可靠性的数据支持和规范化的分析程序。 关键词：情景意识；可靠性；数字化主控室；核电厂；贝叶斯理论 中图分类号:X913.4 Operators situation awareness reliability model in digital main control rooms of nuclear power plants Li Peng-cheng1，Zhang Li1，2, Dai Li-cao1, Zou Yan-hua2, Qing Tao1, Hu Hong2, Zhao Ming3 (1. Human Factor Institute, University of South China, Hengyang ,China 421001;2. Hunan Institute of Technology, Hengyang, China, 421002；3. CNNP nuclear power operations management co.,ltd, Haiyan, 314300, China) Abstract: Situational awareness (SA) is a key element impacting operators’ and decision-making and performance in nuclear power plants. SA reliability is an important part of human reliability analysis. In order to quantitatively assess SA reliability, the Bayesian network model of operators’ SA reliability analysis in digital main control rooms is built by interviewing with operators. Furthermore, a quantitative assessment procedure of SA reliability is established, and the conditional probability distribution of influencing factors are more objectively determined on the basis of the full-size simulator experiment data of nuclear power plants and Bayesian theory. It is used to quantitative calculate SA reliability, and a case is used to illustrate specific application of the established model. The results show that the model can provide more reliable data and standardized analysis procedures to support operators’ SA reliability evaluation in digital nuclear power plants. Keywords: Situational Awareness; Reliability; Digital main control room; Nuclear power plant; Bayesian theory 1．引言 人因研究中的情景意识（Situation Awarene