基于grace和gldas数据反演近十年洞庭湖流域水储量变化-自然地理专业论文.pdf.docxVIP

研究生优秀毕业论文 变化过程比较一致；两者下游水储量变化最大，中游次之，上游最小。 变化过程比较一致；两者下游水储量变化最大，中游次之，上游最小。 上、中、下游和全流域GRACE和GLDAS年平均水储量都呈递增趋 势。GRACE水储量上、中、下游和全流域的增幅分别为3．75mm·a1、 6．24mm·a-1、8．86mm·a-1和6．28mm·aq；GLDAS对应的增幅较小， 其值分别为1．23mm·a-I、O．1 lmm·aq、0．29mm·a-l和0．47mm·a1。 (5)影响陆地水储量变化的主要因素是降水，GRACE水储量与 降水距平变化过程基本一致，GRACE水储量变化出现峰值的月份滞 后于降水距平峰值一个月左右；GRACE数据和降水距平中度相关， 相关系数为O．5 1；地形和地貌类型是影响洞庭湖流域水储量变化的另 一重要因素；洞庭湖流域水储量的变化还受到长江来水的影响。 (6)在2004、2012年，GRACE水储量变化、GLDAS水储量变 化、降水距平变化在空间分布上，三者之间在量级上正相关；在2004 年和20 12年，GRACE和GLDAS水储量变化趋势一致性较好，两者 之间的相关系数分别为0．75和0．68；但GRACE和降水距平的相关 性较低。 关键词：洞庭湖流域； GRACE；GLDAS；降水；水储量变化 万方数据 ABSTRACTMonitoring ABSTRACT Monitoring of river basin water reserves is important for studies of water resources variation and water balance．GRACE satellite provides a new measure for the research of variation of water reserves，GLDAS hydrological model data is often applied to estimate variation of water reserves．we estimate the terrestrial water storage change in the Dongting Lake basin using GRACE and GLDAS datas from 2003 to 20 1 2’，and contrasts the two results；The Dongting Lake basin is divided into the upper,middle and downstream，comparison of the three river basin on monthly and interannual variation；GRACE related impact factors are analyzed；Considered extreme change of water reserver．The resuR shows that： (1)GRACE satellite data estimate that Water storage of Dongting Lake basinDasm deccreased progressivelyprogressively betweenbetween 32．3m3mm and 1 50mm50mm with a ladder-like shape from northeast to southwest on the space．GLDAS hydrological model estimate that water storage decreased from east to west埘ttl a range of variation between．60mm and 7 1．3mm． (2)GRACE water storage variation of Dongting Lake basin is between-135．76mm and 143．03mm on the time，the whole variation tendency rising year after year with a 0．5mm increase per month．GRACE water storage variation at all seasons is on the increase progressively in recent ten years，among all seasons，autumn increased 26．07 Inln·a