经济学视角下的中国海水养殖发展研究——实证研究与没模型分析.docx

术进步的边际收益分析显示，当养殖规模未达到可持续容量时，r型技术进步边 术进步的边际收益分析显示，当养殖规模未达到可持续容量时，r型技术进步边 际收益较高，而k型技术进步的边际收益为零；当出现过度养殖时，r型技术进 步边际收益迅速下降，而k型技术进步的边际收益开始增加。论文认为，技术进 步是海水养殖实现可持续发展的根本动力。 由于海水养殖业既无法通过自身调节、也不能单纯依靠市场调节实现可持 续、有效率的发展，因此有必要实施适当的行政管理。但是，近30年来我国政 府一直对海水养殖业发展采取以数量为中心的行政管理，即把产量、收入等指标 的持续增长作为政府管理的主要目标。论文综述了近20多年来我国政府对海水 养殖业管理政策的演变历程，根据海水养殖生产经营的特点提出了以环境为中心 的行政管理思路，认为应把控制养殖规模、防止过度养殖作为行政管理的中心环 节，并结合发达国家的行政管理经验提出了具体措施。 关键词：经济学；海水养殖；养殖容量；技术 Research Research on Mar icuIture DeveIopment of OhiRe under the Vj ew of Economics ——Empi ricaI Research and ModeI AnaIysis Abstract On the basis of researching on the history and current situation of our county’s sea farming development,this article reveals mariculture’s characters and its development regulations．and analyses也e rdationship between them with economic methods in aspects of farming,market,technology,and as such．By making economic and mathematical models such as the function of sea farming and the collective choice model of sea field，the article explains$olne facts in our count_ry’s sea farming such鹤fluctuation，low-productivity,and environment problems，gives some policy advices． This article summarizes that car州ng capacity restrict is one of the most important reasom for the periodic development of China’s mariculture．By analyzing the‘Four Waves’’in our country’s mariculture development history,this article finds that there is another cycling fluctuation caused by carr咖g capacity restricts，besides which is caused by market(as in agriculture and all other long-term industries)．It is closely connoted with sea farming scale。density,and duration． Based on the research of carrying capacity accurding to the characters of mariculture ecological system，the article establishes the function of sea fanning， develops the optimal production theory of sea fanning．他theory subvid鹤the concept of carrying capacity into short-term carrying capacity,sustainable carrying capacity,and economic optimum carrying capacity．Finding that short-term carrying capa