基于门限面板模型的机构养老地区差异性分析-中国科技论文在线.PDFVIP

第11卷第23 期 Vol.11 No.23 2018 年 12 月 December 2018 基于门限面板模型的机构养老地区差异性分析 1 2* 丁咏梅 ，邱云枫 （1. 武汉科技大学理学院，武汉 430065 ； 2. 武汉科技大学文法与经济学院，武汉 430065 ） 摘要：当前我国机构养老模式存在着明显的区域差异性特征，且不同层次地区老年人的消费能力和需求也具 有明显差异。本文运用门限面板回归模型，分析地区经济对机构养老发展的非线性影响，对制约机构养老发 展的因素进行更细致的分析。结果表明，地区经济水平的不均衡导致机构养老所面临的困境不同、发展的方 向不同。可见在我国养老体系中，不能用单一养老模式一概而论，而需要针对不同需求群体确定合适的养老 模式。 关键词：社会医学；机构养老；门限自回归；地区差异 中图分类号：R195 ；F222.1 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1674-2850(2018)23-2400-09 Analysis of regional differences in institutional pension based on threshold panel model 1 2 DING Yongmei , QIU Yunfeng (1. School of Science, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China; 2. School of Literature, Law and Economics, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China) Abstract: At present, there are obvious regional differences in the mode of institutional pension in China. Moreover, the consumption capacity and demand of the elderly population in the region at different levels are also significantly different. In this paper, the threshold panel regression model is applied to analyze the nonlinear impact of regional economic on the development of institutional pension, to further analyze the factors restricting the development of institutional pension. The results show that the imbalance of regional economic level leads to the different predicaments faced by institutional pension, and the different directions of