城市规模对居民出行距离的影响研究.pdfVIP

Management Science and Engineering 管理科学与工程, 2015, 4(4), 92-100 Published Online December 2015 in Hans. /journal/mse /10.12677/mse.2015.44013 Impact Analysis of City Scale on Trip Distance of Urban Residents * Min Zhang , Xiaoning Zhang, Hua Wang School of economics and management, Tongji University, Shanghai th th th Received: Dec. 9 , 2015; accepted: Dec. 24 , 2015; published: Dec. 29 , 2015 Copyright © 2015 by authors and Hans Publishers Inc. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). /licenses/by/4.0/ Abstract In the urban transport system, it’s important to study the urban trip distance distribution. In this paper, trip distance distribution function was analyzed by using probability theory under some hypothesis conditions, and was fitted by using resident trip data of 26 cities, the rationality of hy- pothesis conditions was tested, the effect factors of the function parameters were discussed, such as urban scale, urban population and traffic structure, a general function of trip distance distribu- tion was established through quantitative analysis and nonlinear regression, and the general formula of the travel distance of the urban residents is finally derived. Hopefully, a few insightful results in this research could have important and practical value for urban development and ur- ban transportation planning. Keywords Urban Traffic, Trip Distance Distribution, Parameter Analysis, Nonlinear Regression 城市规模对居民出行距离的影响研究 * 张 敏 ，张小宁，王 华 同济大学经济与管理学院，上海 收稿日期：2015年12月9 日；录用日期：2015年12月24 日；发布日期：2015年12月29 日 *通讯作者。 文章引用: 张敏, 张小宁, 王华. 城市规模对居民出行距离的影响研究[J].