复杂经济系统演化建模研究管理科学与工程专业论文.docxVIP

摘要时问进入到21世纪，现代化的通讯设施加强了国家与嗣家之间的联系， 摘要 时问进入到21世纪，现代化的通讯设施加强了国家与嗣家之间的联系， 疆零绞浇社会或蔻～个联系蘩爨瓣溺获结鞠。在这个溺终孛，强舞静经济事 件的发生都与网络内部、网络环境存在着广泛的关系。全球经济系统越来越 体现出非线性、多谶反馈的复杂系统特性。经济学的研究内容、研究思路以 及研突方法正在发生羞变化，复杂瞧科学磺究的进展为经游系统靛研究浚入 了薪的活力。 本文运用复杂遇应系统和人工智能理论澍复杂经济系统的演化建模问题 进行了研究。本文总结了复杂经济系统的性质及其演化的特点。针对复杂经 济系绞溪纯建旗萁零痿霾子系统镑真方法这～特煮，挺密了纂予主毒摹鹣缀济 系统演化建模方法，并归纳了建馍步骤。 作者认为，复杂经济系统是[】|具有主动适应周围环境变化的微观经济主 俸构成懿。|圭l予这然微或经济主体掌握的信感秘瓷源数量、令薅理娃戳及个 体决策过程和时阊缝度的不同，遗成其在复杂缀济系统中酌魏位和作用不同。 作者将微观经济主体分为刚性经济主体、柔性经济主体以及半柔性经济主体 三种类型，分别构溉了其逻辑结梅和物理结梭，并描述了备j}串类型经济主体 载运雩擎过程。 在建立了复杂经济系统微观经济主体模型的基础上，通过构造多主体的 通讯、多主体模型中微观经济主体的社会化模毅和学习模型，建立了复杂经 济系绞渡伲故多主体模鍪。 域后，本文运用Swarm平台对寡头垄断厂商定价决策系统进行了实证研 究。 关键词 复杂经济系统微观经济主体 多主体模型演化建模 AbstractIn Abstract In 2 1 th century,the relationship among the countries is becoming more and more strong under the help of modem equipments．And the world’s economy is becoming a network，In the network ofthe world’S economy,each economic event must have some influence on others and must have been influenced by the others． The economic system of the world is a non—liner,multi-feedback complex system， Under this background，the research ofthe economy is cilanging in its content and method by the use ofthe complex science． In this paper,we have studied the evolutionary：modeling of complex economic system by the ilse ofcomplex adaptive system and artificial intelligence、 And vve have concluded the feature of the complex economic system and its evolution．Then，we have established the agent—based method of economic system evolutionary model and concluded its steps． The adaptive micro economic agents construct the complex economic system． Those micro economic agents carl adapt their environments actively．Because the differences of the information and the resource they have，individual rationality, the process of individual decision marking and the dimension of time,those micro economic agents have different functions and status in the complex economic system．Then，xYe have classified those agents into three types：rigid economic