基于交叉小波多尺度气候变化及其对径流影响.pdfVIP

Journal of Water Resources Research 水资源研究, 2016, 5(6), 564-572 Published Online December 2016 in Hans. /journal/jwrr /10.12677/jwrr.2016.56065 The Multi-Timescale Climate Change and Its Impact on Runoff Based on Cross-Wavelet Transformation Ying Hou, Fang Zheng, Yi Shao College of Resources and Environment Sciences, Ningxia (China-Arab) Key laboratory of Resource Assessment and Environment Regulation in Arid Region, Ningxia University, Yinchuan Ningxia st th rd Received: Dec. 1 , 2016; accepted: Dec. 16 , 2016; published: Dec. 23 , 2016 Copyright © 2016 by authors and Hans Publishers Inc. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). /licenses/by/4.0/ Open Access Abstract Based on meteorological and hydrological data in Shiyang River, climatic change characteristics and its impact on runoff in different time scales were discussed based on Mann-Kendall test, correlation analy- sis, wavelet analysis and cross-wavelet test methods. The results show that precipitation in the upper reaches decreases significantly during the period from 1956 to 2001, precipitation in the lower reaches decreases after mid-1990s, and temperature and maximum temperature increases significantly (p 0.01) in the entire Shiyang River. There is a good correspondence between frequency domains of annual and summer precipitation and annual runoff in the upper reaches at the scales of 2 - 5 years (1960s, 1980- 2005), and there is a significant negative correlation between annual and summer temperature series and runoff at longer-time scales (6 - 8 years, 1970s). The precipitation change plays a major role in ru- noff change. There are no significant correlations between annual precipitation and temperature series and annual runoff at multi-time scales in the lower reaches,