基于神经网络和遗传算法的水库诱发地震危险性评价研究-水利水电工程专业论文.docxVIP

华 华 中 科 技 大 学 硕 士 学 位 论 文 II II Abstract With the continuous development of water projects, which has brought many benefits to mankind, while the negative impact of water conservancy projects can’t be ignored. Especially after a reservoir was constructed, sometimes the load of the reservoir was changed, the change of stress was produced, then Reservoir-induced Seismicity was caused. Despite the probability of Reservoir-induced Seismicity was small, the loss of human life and property which has been made by Reservoir-induced Seismicity was heavy. In order to reduce this loss, foreign scholars started to research it very early in the characteristics, the mechanism and the conditions of the Reservoir-induced Seismicity. These studies provided a solid foundation for the later prediction. From the beginning of the geological analogy method, genetic analysis method until the later method of probability and statistics, pattern recognition method, etc. are to some extent contribute on the Reservoir-induced Seismicity risk assessment, but because of Reservoir-induced Seismicity causes of the relationship between the conditions ,the causes of conditions and induce the relationship between the magnitude are very complex, only using the above approach can’t describe their nonlinear relationship vividly. Because of the knowledge of conditions is limited on induced seismicity research, we can only seek to improve on the prediction method. Taking the recent rapid development of neural network algorithm into account, in particular the BP neural network, it has strong nonlinear processing capabilities that reflect the most essential part of artificial neural network. Using it to predict Reservoir-induced Seismicity is a feasible approach, but as BP neural network itself is easy to fall into local minimum point of problem. This paper combined with Genetic Algorithm which has strong global searching capabilities to optimize weights and thresholds of the Neural Network, and finally es