褐飞虱发生系统的混沌诊断-应用生态学报.PDF

2003 8 14 8 CHINESE JOURN L OF PPLIED ECOLOGY, ug.2003,14( 8)1359~ 1362 * 1* * 2 3 2 许晓风 马 飞 邹运鼎 程遐年 1 2 ( , 210097; , 210095; 3 , 230036) 7 7 2 8 1.3! 10 ~ 2! 10 hm , 10! 10 kg. , , 1986~ 1998 6~ 11 , Poincare ,. , , . Poincare 1001- 9332(2003) 08- 1359- 04 S435. 112 1 2 3 Chaotic diagnosis of N ilap ar vata lugens occurrence system. XU Xiaofeng ,M Fei , ZOU Yunding , CHENG 2 1 2 Xianian ( L if e School of Nanj ing Normal University, Nanj ing 210097, China; K ey L aboratory of Monitor ing and Management of Plant Disease and Insects, M inistry of griculture, Nanj ing gricultural Universi 3 ty , Nanj ing 210095, China; nhui gricultural University , Hef ei 230036, China) . Chin. J. pp l. Ecol. , 2003,14( 8) : 1359~ 1362. It is estimated that there are nearly 20 million hectares of rice crop being infested by Nilap arv ata lugens , with an annual loss of some half a million tones of grain. In order to study the properties and laws of Nilap arvata lu gens occurrence system further, the time series data of Nilap arvata lugens occurrence from 1986 to 1998 col lected in Taihu Lake District were analyzed by using the methods of autocorrelation function, power spectrum figure, phase trajectory figure, poincare section, and return map of chaos theory. The results indicated that Ni lap arvata lugens occurrence system in Yangtze River valley area in China had an obvious chaotic property, even though t