国内石油市场供需矛盾分析及相关对策研究-工商管理专业论文.docxVIP

摘 摘 要 石油作为重要战略物资和特殊商品，对国民经济发展具有重大 影响。随着国民经济的快速发展，国内石油需求强劲，消费大幅增长， 而国内石油产量徘徊不前，供需缺口拉大，严重失衡，矛盾日益突出。 对国内石油市场供需矛盾进行分析，找出相应的解决对策，保障石油 市场供需平衡，有着重大的现实意义。 本文首先对国内石油市场供需矛盾进行了全面系统的分析。我 国已成为仅次于美国和日本的世界第三石油消费大国，消费需求受价 格变动的影响较小，呈一定的刚性，潜力巨大，在今后一个长时期内 仍将以较快的速度增长。但国内石油探明可采储量呈逐年下降趋势， 原油稳产、增产基础变差，如勘探没有大的突破，国内原油产量难有 大的提高。随着时间的推移，国内石油市场供需失衡矛盾将更加突出。 基于国内石油市场供需矛盾分析，本文对国内石油市场供需平衡 的有利条件、国内外环境和应采取的对策进行了具体深入的分析。有 利条件是替代能源潜力巨大，对外开放与开发海外资源初具条件，国 内资源勘探开发仍具潜力，国家政策给予强力支持。我国石油市场面 对的环境是十分复杂的，但挑战与机遇并存。实现国内石油市场供需 平衡的基本对策：一是抑制石油市场需求过快增长；二是在国内强化 勘探，增加储量，合理开发己探明储量，保持一定的产量规模；三是 充分开发利用国外油气资源，实行进口的多源化和多元化；四是建立 国家石油战略储备，降低市场供给风险。 关键词：石油市场供需矛盾对策 ABSTRACTAs ABSTRACT As the major strategic material and special co咖odity，petroleum plays a key role in national economic development．With the rapid growth of the national economy，there is an increasingly strong demand for petroleum domestically and massive consumption shoot—uD，while domestic petroleum production lags far behind，thus resulting in a large gap between its demand and supply—a severe imbalance，and a day—bv—day prominent contradiction．It is of important．actual significance to work out relative countermeasures，by analyzing demand—supply contradiction lying in domestic petroleum market，to safeguard its balance． Firstly，this article gives a comprehensive and systematic analysis on demand—supply contradiction lying in domestic petroleum market．China has become the 3”biggest petroleum—consuming nation． second only to USA and Japan，our domestic petroleum consumption demand， with rigidity and great potential，is 1ittle affected by price fluctuat ions．and wi 1 1 remain rather speedy growth in years to come． But domestic proven oil deposits are on a year-bv—year downtrend．and the foundation for crude oil stable and increasing production becomes worse。so domestic crude production has difficultv in big improvement without a great breakthrough in its exploration．With the passing of time．such imbalance contradiction will be more promin