牛鼻脊石灰石露天矿经济与投资风险分析.docVIP

摘 要 据工业化学分析，生产一吨水泥，需要水泥用灰岩1.3吨，石灰石矿是水泥产品最重要的生产原材料。且“十五”以来，由于固定资产投资持续增长，在市场需求拉动下，重庆市水泥产量一直保持较快的增长速度。水泥产量的增加拉动了石灰石矿山行业的需求，故对石灰石矿山项目建设的投资经济风险分析就显得尤其重要。 本文在前人的基础上系统的论述了矿业投资项目的三种经济评价方法，找出了各自适用范围与评价重点，对重要经济评价指标、参数作了分析与研究。并对矿业项目经济评价的数学理论进行了论述。 并以牛鼻脊石灰石露天矿为具体课题研究对象，首先根据区域地质情况和已有地质资料，提出了合理的采矿方案，在采矿设计方案的基础上进行了生产能力核算。提出了露天矿项目财务经济评价模型，并以牛鼻脊石灰石露天矿为对象进行了计算和分析。其次对比总结了一些已有的项目风险分析评价方法，提出了矿业经济风险分析的实用创新方法，即敏感性分析与概率分析相结合，建立了风险分析模型，并以牛鼻脊石灰石露天矿为对象进行深入研究。最终得出结果，牛鼻脊石灰石矿项目投资经济效果较好，风险较小，能给投资者带来良好的经济效益。此种产能估算与经济评价、风险分析方法合理实用，能为全国同类的水泥用石灰石开发利用可行性研究提供指导性意见。 该论文有图7幅，表14个，参考文献62篇。 关键词：石灰石露天矿；生产能力；财务经济评价；风险分析 Abstract According to industrial chemical analysis, to produce one tons of cement requires 1.3 tons of cement with limestone, limestone is the most important raw materials of cement products. And since the tenth five-year-plan, because of fixed asset investment continued to grow, driven by market demand, cement production has maintained rapid growth in Chongqing. Increase in cement production has driven the demand for limestone mining industry, so limestone mining project on the economic risk analysis of investment are particularly important. In this paper, based on the previous system, discusses the three types of mining investment projects, economic evaluation methods to identify the scope of application and evaluation of their own focus on the key economic evaluation, and research parameters analyzed.And discussed the mathematical theory of economic evaluation of mining projects. And to NiuBiJi limestone mine for the study of specific topics, first of all have been based on regional geology and geological data, making the rational mining program, in the mining design based on the capacity of accounting.At last making the production capacity verification based on the mining design. Proposed open pit project financial economic evaluation model, and to NiuBiJi limestone mine was chosen as a calculated and analyzed.Secondly, a number of comparative summary of existing methods of project risk a