煤与瓦斯突出区域预测的模式识别方法研究-采矿工程专业毕业论文.docx

摘要煤与瓦斯突出是地应力、瓦斯、煤的物理力学性质等因素综合作用的结果。国内外 摘要 煤与瓦斯突出是地应力、瓦斯、煤的物理力学性质等因素综合作用的结果。国内外 开采实践表明，煤与瓦斯突出的发生呈区域性分布，瓦斯灾害发生区域只占整个开采区 域的8％～20％。文中通过地质动力区划方法确定区域地质构造背景，采用多因素模式识 别概率预测方法完成煤与瓦斯突出危险性的区域预测。在理论分析和查明多个突出影响 因素与突出危险性之间的内在联系的基础上，确定模式识别准则、建立模式识别模型， 完成模式识别系统设计、模式识别算法研究、概率预测准则确定和煤与瓦斯突出区域预 测信息系统的开发。进而划分煤与瓦斯突出危险区、突出威胁区和无突出危险区，对煤 与瓦斯突出危险性做出评估和预测，提高瓦斯灾害预测的准确性。 关键词：煤与瓦斯突出 模式识别概率预测地质动力区划 ABSTRACT Coal and gas outburst is the synthesize result of stress，gas，COal physies mechanics etc． It iS indicated by domestic and overseas mining practice that the district where COal and gas 0utburst is territorial．the disaster occurrence area accounts for 0nlY 8％～20％of whole mine district．In this paper,geo—dynamic zoning method was used to research regional geology structure，multi—factor pattern recognition method WaS applied to predict regional coal and gaS outburst danger．Based on theory analyst and the relation among也e factors affecting COal and gas outburst，the norm and model ofpattern recognition were established，then the design and algorithm of pattern recognition system were completed，Oil which the probability prediction norm were certain and the development of COal and gas outburst regiIonal prediction system waS completed．11le mining a／ca was thell divided into COal and gas outburst dangerous area、threat area and safety are乱to assess and predict the danger ofCOal and gas outburst,the accuracy ofgas ofcoal and gas outburst predict WaS improved． Key words：coal and gaS outburst，possibility prediction,pauem recognition，geo-dynamic zoning SUMMARYCoal SUMMARY Coal and gas outburst is the complicated result of stress，gas，coal physics mechanics etc． By pattem recognition method，active fault、major Stress、sffess gradient、gas pressure，rock feature、gas content etc．is used to calculate danger approximate of coal bed，yet it is convenient to divides coal district into dangerous district，intimidation district，and safe district． The principle of coal and gas outburst regional prediction by pattern recognitio